Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1000.655501 1126.960337 1264.660300 1426.186198 1610.793928 1815.572500 2060.449776
2026-01-18 802.630941 973.136161 1174.700666 1431.664190 1752.110286 2140.570801 2650.214551
2026-01-25 704.565329 898.058087 1139.796162 1466.254380 1899.049905 2457.905181 3241.888431
2026-02-01 631.689713 838.153788 1107.856691 1489.591873 2021.808594 2746.102873 3821.107171
2026-02-08 572.359416 785.784300 1075.388088 1502.194206 2123.830452 3009.624673 4391.569440
2026-02-15 525.722501 743.869287 1050.047645 1517.891559 2226.671709 3279.718736 4999.475580
2026-02-22 490.773557 713.803351 1036.664164 1546.714328 2348.200385 3586.389651 5697.599252
2026-03-01 444.372522 661.822267 985.124512 1510.877647 2363.864780 3727.677614 6143.742761
2026-03-08 401.571072 611.002830 929.995338 1462.579022 2352.261454 3820.404502 6515.070951
2026-03-15 364.650621 565.877925 879.294748 1415.528654 2336.081563 3900.905761 6870.808805
2026-03-22 350.951183 556.153329 883.455397 1458.307003 2474.551134 4258.382611 7769.685052
2026-03-29 333.896864 539.379965 874.366354 1477.102833 2572.037981 4552.372075 8586.205344
2026-04-05 315.838935 519.934566 859.903227 1486.426086 2655.831505 4835.155815 9430.087748
2026-04-12 298.739409 500.782159 844.380120 1492.418519 2734.239022 5117.193903 10314.688704
2026-04-19 288.090629 491.814324 845.584128 1528.624913 2873.027885 5531.125834 11534.552129
2026-04-26 276.520228 480.213401 840.955426 1553.062165 2990.772405 5915.679288 12746.959999
2026-05-03 264.300666 466.439327 831.122911 1566.258916 3086.761348 6265.591908 13933.019733
2026-05-10 253.495495 454.399909 823.435151 1582.697435 3190.681526 6643.755179 15242.466746
2026-05-17 245.228301 446.443778 822.729728 1612.883225 3326.490596 7107.255422 16831.535809
2026-05-24 229.467047 423.097983 790.575022 1575.352253 3311.116854 7227.950426 17578.769136
2026-05-31 213.496100 398.276649 753.743347 1524.776955 3261.497563 7263.353516 18109.830266
2026-06-07 198.914397 375.245336 718.891807 1475.516456 3209.976337 7288.353433 18617.451257
2026-06-14 195.252676 373.624483 727.063344 1520.303947 3380.236173 7869.472785 20744.438440